How to Use Bayesian Methods for Accurate Financial Forecasting

Learn to apply Bayes' theorem in financial forecasting for insightful, updated predictions. Enhance decision-making with ...
National Bureau of Economic Research

Do Conditional Cash Transfers Improve Economic Outcomes in the Next Generation? Evidence from Mexico

Conditional cash transfer programs have spread to over 60 countries in the past two decades, but little is known about their long-term effects. We estimate the lasting impact of childhood exposure to ...
New Scientist

Why it’s easy to be misunderstood when talking about probability

Mathematicians rely on numbers, but finding words to explain different levels of certainty has stymied everyone from the ...
IEEE

Short-Term Load Probability Prediction Based on Conditional Generative Adversarial Network Curve Generation

Abstract: To ensure the stable and secure operation of the power system, we propose a method for short-term load probability prediction based on Conditional Generative Adversarial Network (CGAN) curve ...
IEEE

Automated Generation of Real Driving Emissions Compliant Drive Cycles Using Conditional Probability Modeling

Abstract: Car manufacturers are required by the European Union to carry out real driving emissions tests as part of the type approval process. Comprehensive regulations define numerous requirements ...